Crowds predict accurately?

I liked meeting Predictify a lot. They use crowds to predict things, and quite accurately too. Their interview is up on FastCompany.tv. Their site says “don’t just read the news, predict it.”

This is one of those interviews when I expected to really be bored through it yet they kept telling me stuff and showing me stuff that opened my eyes to a new way of interacting with people on blogs and sites. I predict you won’t be bored.

Advertisements

99 thoughts on “Crowds predict accurately?

  1. Hey Scoble,
    Well that’s the good old (2006) Crowdsourcing πŸ™‚
    I actually used betting odds to predict the Euro 2008 results and had (amount of goals included) a perfect score for the first four matches, although ‘the crowd’ screwed it up in Day 3. I still expect big results using this method.

    I wrote something on the economy as a ‘product valuation’ crowdsourcing project on http://glowrich.com/?q=node/2 . What do you think about that?

    Like

  2. Hey Scoble,
    Well that’s the good old (2006) Crowdsourcing πŸ™‚
    I actually used betting odds to predict the Euro 2008 results and had (amount of goals included) a perfect score for the first four matches, although ‘the crowd’ screwed it up in Day 3. I still expect big results using this method.

    I wrote something on the economy as a ‘product valuation’ crowdsourcing project on http://glowrich.com/?q=node/2 . What do you think about that?

    Like

  3. Hey Scoble,
    Well that’s the good old (2006) Crowdsourcing πŸ™‚
    I actually used betting odds to predict the Euro 2008 results and had (amount of goals included) a perfect score for the first four matches, although ‘the crowd’ screwed it up in Day 3. I still expect big results using this method.

    I wrote something on the economy as a ‘product valuation’ crowdsourcing project on http://glowrich.com/?q=node/2 . What do you think about that?

    Like

  4. Hey Scoble,
    Well that’s the good old (2006) Crowdsourcing πŸ™‚
    I actually used betting odds to predict the Euro 2008 results and had (amount of goals included) a perfect score for the first four matches, although ‘the crowd’ screwed it up in Day 3. I still expect big results using this method.

    I wrote something on the economy as a ‘product valuation’ crowdsourcing project on http://glowrich.com/?q=node/2 . What do you think about that?

    Like

  5. Hey Scoble,
    Well that’s the good old (2006) Crowdsourcing πŸ™‚
    I actually used betting odds to predict the Euro 2008 results and had (amount of goals included) a perfect score for the first four matches, although ‘the crowd’ screwed it up in Day 3. I still expect big results using this method.

    I wrote something on the economy as a ‘product valuation’ crowdsourcing project on http://glowrich.com/?q=node/2 . What do you think about that?

    Like

  6. Hey Scoble,
    Well that’s the good old (2006) Crowdsourcing πŸ™‚
    I actually used betting odds to predict the Euro 2008 results and had (amount of goals included) a perfect score for the first four matches, although ‘the crowd’ screwed it up in Day 3. I still expect big results using this method.

    I wrote something on the economy as a ‘product valuation’ crowdsourcing project on http://glowrich.com/?q=node/2 . What do you think about that?

    Like

  7. Hey Scoble,
    Well that’s the good old (2006) Crowdsourcing πŸ™‚
    I actually used betting odds to predict the Euro 2008 results and had (amount of goals included) a perfect score for the first four matches, although ‘the crowd’ screwed it up in Day 3. I still expect big results using this method.

    I wrote something on the economy as a ‘product valuation’ crowdsourcing project on http://glowrich.com/?q=node/2 . What do you think about that?

    Like

  8. Hey Scoble,
    Well that’s the good old (2006) Crowdsourcing πŸ™‚
    I actually used betting odds to predict the Euro 2008 results and had (amount of goals included) a perfect score for the first four matches, although ‘the crowd’ screwed it up in Day 3. I still expect big results using this method.

    I wrote something on the economy as a ‘product valuation’ crowdsourcing project on http://glowrich.com/?q=node/2 . What do you think about that?

    Like

  9. Hey Scoble,
    Well that’s the good old (2006) Crowdsourcing πŸ™‚
    I actually used betting odds to predict the Euro 2008 results and had (amount of goals included) a perfect score for the first four matches, although ‘the crowd’ screwed it up in Day 3. I still expect big results using this method.

    I wrote something on the economy as a ‘product valuation’ crowdsourcing project on http://glowrich.com/?q=node/2 . What do you think about that?

    Like

  10. Hey Scoble,
    Well that’s the good old (2006) Crowdsourcing πŸ™‚
    I actually used betting odds to predict the Euro 2008 results and had (amount of goals included) a perfect score for the first four matches, although ‘the crowd’ screwed it up in Day 3. I still expect big results using this method.

    I wrote something on the economy as a ‘product valuation’ crowdsourcing project on http://glowrich.com/?q=node/2 . What do you think about that?

    Like

  11. Hey Scoble,
    Well that’s the good old (2006) Crowdsourcing πŸ™‚
    I actually used betting odds to predict the Euro 2008 results and had (amount of goals included) a perfect score for the first four matches, although ‘the crowd’ screwed it up in Day 3. I still expect big results using this method.

    I wrote something on the economy as a ‘product valuation’ crowdsourcing project on http://glowrich.com/?q=node/2 . What do you think about that?

    Like

  12. So THIS is what Algore uses as the basis for the basis of his “Inconvenient Truth” campaign. It all makes sense now.

    And to think how much Las Vegas sportsbooks spend on setting odds, when all they need to do is use Pedictify.

    One thing’s for sure–no one will ever accuse you of being the next Mike Wallace.

    Like

  13. So THIS is what Algore uses as the basis for the basis of his “Inconvenient Truth” campaign. It all makes sense now.

    And to think how much Las Vegas sportsbooks spend on setting odds, when all they need to do is use Pedictify.

    One thing’s for sure–no one will ever accuse you of being the next Mike Wallace.

    Like

  14. So THIS is what Algore uses as the basis for the basis of his “Inconvenient Truth” campaign. It all makes sense now.

    And to think how much Las Vegas sportsbooks spend on setting odds, when all they need to do is use Pedictify.

    One thing’s for sure–no one will ever accuse you of being the next Mike Wallace.

    Like

  15. So THIS is what Algore uses as the basis for the basis of his “Inconvenient Truth” campaign. It all makes sense now.

    And to think how much Las Vegas sportsbooks spend on setting odds, when all they need to do is use Pedictify.

    One thing’s for sure–no one will ever accuse you of being the next Mike Wallace.

    Like

  16. So THIS is what Algore uses as the basis for the basis of his “Inconvenient Truth” campaign. It all makes sense now.

    And to think how much Las Vegas sportsbooks spend on setting odds, when all they need to do is use Pedictify.

    One thing’s for sure–no one will ever accuse you of being the next Mike Wallace.

    Like

  17. So THIS is what Algore uses as the basis for the basis of his “Inconvenient Truth” campaign. It all makes sense now.

    And to think how much Las Vegas sportsbooks spend on setting odds, when all they need to do is use Pedictify.

    One thing’s for sure–no one will ever accuse you of being the next Mike Wallace.

    Like

  18. So THIS is what Algore uses as the basis for the basis of his “Inconvenient Truth” campaign. It all makes sense now.

    And to think how much Las Vegas sportsbooks spend on setting odds, when all they need to do is use Pedictify.

    One thing’s for sure–no one will ever accuse you of being the next Mike Wallace.

    Like

  19. So THIS is what Algore uses as the basis for the basis of his “Inconvenient Truth” campaign. It all makes sense now.

    And to think how much Las Vegas sportsbooks spend on setting odds, when all they need to do is use Pedictify.

    One thing’s for sure–no one will ever accuse you of being the next Mike Wallace.

    Like

  20. So THIS is what Algore uses as the basis for the basis of his “Inconvenient Truth” campaign. It all makes sense now.

    And to think how much Las Vegas sportsbooks spend on setting odds, when all they need to do is use Pedictify.

    One thing’s for sure–no one will ever accuse you of being the next Mike Wallace.

    Like

  21. So THIS is what Algore uses as the basis for the basis of his “Inconvenient Truth” campaign. It all makes sense now.

    And to think how much Las Vegas sportsbooks spend on setting odds, when all they need to do is use Pedictify.

    One thing’s for sure–no one will ever accuse you of being the next Mike Wallace.

    Like

  22. So THIS is what Algore uses as the basis for the basis of his “Inconvenient Truth” campaign. It all makes sense now.

    And to think how much Las Vegas sportsbooks spend on setting odds, when all they need to do is use Pedictify.

    One thing’s for sure–no one will ever accuse you of being the next Mike Wallace.

    Like

  23. Well, there are certainly situations where the preponderance of a group can evaluate the evidence (and/or possess the necessary knowledge) to come to the same reasonable conclusions. That makes sense, and is the premise behind the “Ask the Audience” gimmick on “Who Wants to Be a Millionaire.” And, this story is just about as interesting…

    Like

  24. Well, there are certainly situations where the preponderance of a group can evaluate the evidence (and/or possess the necessary knowledge) to come to the same reasonable conclusions. That makes sense, and is the premise behind the “Ask the Audience” gimmick on “Who Wants to Be a Millionaire.” And, this story is just about as interesting…

    Like

  25. Well, there are certainly situations where the preponderance of a group can evaluate the evidence (and/or possess the necessary knowledge) to come to the same reasonable conclusions. That makes sense, and is the premise behind the “Ask the Audience” gimmick on “Who Wants to Be a Millionaire.” And, this story is just about as interesting…

    Like

  26. Well, there are certainly situations where the preponderance of a group can evaluate the evidence (and/or possess the necessary knowledge) to come to the same reasonable conclusions. That makes sense, and is the premise behind the “Ask the Audience” gimmick on “Who Wants to Be a Millionaire.” And, this story is just about as interesting…

    Like

  27. Well, there are certainly situations where the preponderance of a group can evaluate the evidence (and/or possess the necessary knowledge) to come to the same reasonable conclusions. That makes sense, and is the premise behind the “Ask the Audience” gimmick on “Who Wants to Be a Millionaire.” And, this story is just about as interesting…

    Like

  28. Well, there are certainly situations where the preponderance of a group can evaluate the evidence (and/or possess the necessary knowledge) to come to the same reasonable conclusions. That makes sense, and is the premise behind the “Ask the Audience” gimmick on “Who Wants to Be a Millionaire.” And, this story is just about as interesting…

    Like

  29. Well, there are certainly situations where the preponderance of a group can evaluate the evidence (and/or possess the necessary knowledge) to come to the same reasonable conclusions. That makes sense, and is the premise behind the “Ask the Audience” gimmick on “Who Wants to Be a Millionaire.” And, this story is just about as interesting…

    Like

  30. Well, there are certainly situations where the preponderance of a group can evaluate the evidence (and/or possess the necessary knowledge) to come to the same reasonable conclusions. That makes sense, and is the premise behind the “Ask the Audience” gimmick on “Who Wants to Be a Millionaire.” And, this story is just about as interesting…

    Like

  31. Well, there are certainly situations where the preponderance of a group can evaluate the evidence (and/or possess the necessary knowledge) to come to the same reasonable conclusions. That makes sense, and is the premise behind the “Ask the Audience” gimmick on “Who Wants to Be a Millionaire.” And, this story is just about as interesting…

    Like

  32. Well, there are certainly situations where the preponderance of a group can evaluate the evidence (and/or possess the necessary knowledge) to come to the same reasonable conclusions. That makes sense, and is the premise behind the “Ask the Audience” gimmick on “Who Wants to Be a Millionaire.” And, this story is just about as interesting…

    Like

  33. Well, there are certainly situations where the preponderance of a group can evaluate the evidence (and/or possess the necessary knowledge) to come to the same reasonable conclusions. That makes sense, and is the premise behind the “Ask the Audience” gimmick on “Who Wants to Be a Millionaire.” And, this story is just about as interesting…

    Like

  34. The pilots dead, can the (panicked) crowd fly the plane safety to terra firma?

    Can the crowd perform heart surgery?

    Crowds or “committees” don’t work very well in government do they? πŸ™‚

    Like

  35. The pilots dead, can the (panicked) crowd fly the plane safety to terra firma?

    Can the crowd perform heart surgery?

    Crowds or “committees” don’t work very well in government do they? πŸ™‚

    Like

  36. The pilots dead, can the (panicked) crowd fly the plane safety to terra firma?

    Can the crowd perform heart surgery?

    Crowds or “committees” don’t work very well in government do they? πŸ™‚

    Like

  37. The pilots dead, can the (panicked) crowd fly the plane safety to terra firma?

    Can the crowd perform heart surgery?

    Crowds or “committees” don’t work very well in government do they? πŸ™‚

    Like

  38. The pilots dead, can the (panicked) crowd fly the plane safety to terra firma?

    Can the crowd perform heart surgery?

    Crowds or “committees” don’t work very well in government do they? πŸ™‚

    Like

  39. The pilots dead, can the (panicked) crowd fly the plane safety to terra firma?

    Can the crowd perform heart surgery?

    Crowds or “committees” don’t work very well in government do they? πŸ™‚

    Like

  40. The pilots dead, can the (panicked) crowd fly the plane safety to terra firma?

    Can the crowd perform heart surgery?

    Crowds or “committees” don’t work very well in government do they? πŸ™‚

    Like

  41. The pilots dead, can the (panicked) crowd fly the plane safety to terra firma?

    Can the crowd perform heart surgery?

    Crowds or “committees” don’t work very well in government do they? πŸ™‚

    Like

  42. The pilots dead, can the (panicked) crowd fly the plane safety to terra firma?

    Can the crowd perform heart surgery?

    Crowds or “committees” don’t work very well in government do they? πŸ™‚

    Like

  43. The pilots dead, can the (panicked) crowd fly the plane safety to terra firma?

    Can the crowd perform heart surgery?

    Crowds or “committees” don’t work very well in government do they? πŸ™‚

    Like

  44. The pilots dead, can the (panicked) crowd fly the plane safety to terra firma?

    Can the crowd perform heart surgery?

    Crowds or “committees” don’t work very well in government do they? πŸ™‚

    Like

  45. I’ve gotta admit, I checked out the site and its pretty interesting… though I’m just not sure it will “take off”… why predict? Is this entertainment? A bit hard to understand to the first time visit too, me thinks. But then again, I’m not so smart.

    Like

  46. I’ve gotta admit, I checked out the site and its pretty interesting… though I’m just not sure it will “take off”… why predict? Is this entertainment? A bit hard to understand to the first time visit too, me thinks. But then again, I’m not so smart.

    Like

  47. I’ve gotta admit, I checked out the site and its pretty interesting… though I’m just not sure it will “take off”… why predict? Is this entertainment? A bit hard to understand to the first time visit too, me thinks. But then again, I’m not so smart.

    Like

  48. I’ve gotta admit, I checked out the site and its pretty interesting… though I’m just not sure it will “take off”… why predict? Is this entertainment? A bit hard to understand to the first time visit too, me thinks. But then again, I’m not so smart.

    Like

  49. I’ve gotta admit, I checked out the site and its pretty interesting… though I’m just not sure it will “take off”… why predict? Is this entertainment? A bit hard to understand to the first time visit too, me thinks. But then again, I’m not so smart.

    Like

  50. I’ve gotta admit, I checked out the site and its pretty interesting… though I’m just not sure it will “take off”… why predict? Is this entertainment? A bit hard to understand to the first time visit too, me thinks. But then again, I’m not so smart.

    Like

  51. I’ve gotta admit, I checked out the site and its pretty interesting… though I’m just not sure it will “take off”… why predict? Is this entertainment? A bit hard to understand to the first time visit too, me thinks. But then again, I’m not so smart.

    Like

  52. I’ve gotta admit, I checked out the site and its pretty interesting… though I’m just not sure it will “take off”… why predict? Is this entertainment? A bit hard to understand to the first time visit too, me thinks. But then again, I’m not so smart.

    Like

  53. I’ve gotta admit, I checked out the site and its pretty interesting… though I’m just not sure it will “take off”… why predict? Is this entertainment? A bit hard to understand to the first time visit too, me thinks. But then again, I’m not so smart.

    Like

  54. I’ve gotta admit, I checked out the site and its pretty interesting… though I’m just not sure it will “take off”… why predict? Is this entertainment? A bit hard to understand to the first time visit too, me thinks. But then again, I’m not so smart.

    Like

  55. I’ve gotta admit, I checked out the site and its pretty interesting… though I’m just not sure it will “take off”… why predict? Is this entertainment? A bit hard to understand to the first time visit too, me thinks. But then again, I’m not so smart.

    Like

  56. If you want to get the cliff notes of the interview plus how it relates to Princess Bride you might try this link:

    http://timbauer.bauerfive.com/2008/06/15/mike-agnich-predictify-wisdom-in-the-crowd/

    I would agree Mike is adding a ton of value to the Wisdom of Crowds space … and suggests some new angles others might not be considering. On a separate blog the comment I liked best, from Mike, describing Predictify was this “A social network based on a reputation system”. Exactly.

    Like

  57. If you want to get the cliff notes of the interview plus how it relates to Princess Bride you might try this link:

    http://timbauer.bauerfive.com/2008/06/15/mike-agnich-predictify-wisdom-in-the-crowd/

    I would agree Mike is adding a ton of value to the Wisdom of Crowds space … and suggests some new angles others might not be considering. On a separate blog the comment I liked best, from Mike, describing Predictify was this “A social network based on a reputation system”. Exactly.

    Like

  58. If you want to get the cliff notes of the interview plus how it relates to Princess Bride you might try this link:

    http://timbauer.bauerfive.com/2008/06/15/mike-agnich-predictify-wisdom-in-the-crowd/

    I would agree Mike is adding a ton of value to the Wisdom of Crowds space … and suggests some new angles others might not be considering. On a separate blog the comment I liked best, from Mike, describing Predictify was this “A social network based on a reputation system”. Exactly.

    Like

  59. If you want to get the cliff notes of the interview plus how it relates to Princess Bride you might try this link:

    http://timbauer.bauerfive.com/2008/06/15/mike-agnich-predictify-wisdom-in-the-crowd/

    I would agree Mike is adding a ton of value to the Wisdom of Crowds space … and suggests some new angles others might not be considering. On a separate blog the comment I liked best, from Mike, describing Predictify was this “A social network based on a reputation system”. Exactly.

    Like

  60. If you want to get the cliff notes of the interview plus how it relates to Princess Bride you might try this link:

    http://timbauer.bauerfive.com/2008/06/15/mike-agnich-predictify-wisdom-in-the-crowd/

    I would agree Mike is adding a ton of value to the Wisdom of Crowds space … and suggests some new angles others might not be considering. On a separate blog the comment I liked best, from Mike, describing Predictify was this “A social network based on a reputation system”. Exactly.

    Like

  61. If you want to get the cliff notes of the interview plus how it relates to Princess Bride you might try this link:

    http://timbauer.bauerfive.com/2008/06/15/mike-agnich-predictify-wisdom-in-the-crowd/

    I would agree Mike is adding a ton of value to the Wisdom of Crowds space … and suggests some new angles others might not be considering. On a separate blog the comment I liked best, from Mike, describing Predictify was this “A social network based on a reputation system”. Exactly.

    Like

  62. If you want to get the cliff notes of the interview plus how it relates to Princess Bride you might try this link:

    http://timbauer.bauerfive.com/2008/06/15/mike-agnich-predictify-wisdom-in-the-crowd/

    I would agree Mike is adding a ton of value to the Wisdom of Crowds space … and suggests some new angles others might not be considering. On a separate blog the comment I liked best, from Mike, describing Predictify was this “A social network based on a reputation system”. Exactly.

    Like

  63. If you want to get the cliff notes of the interview plus how it relates to Princess Bride you might try this link:

    http://timbauer.bauerfive.com/2008/06/15/mike-agnich-predictify-wisdom-in-the-crowd/

    I would agree Mike is adding a ton of value to the Wisdom of Crowds space … and suggests some new angles others might not be considering. On a separate blog the comment I liked best, from Mike, describing Predictify was this “A social network based on a reputation system”. Exactly.

    Like

  64. If you want to get the cliff notes of the interview plus how it relates to Princess Bride you might try this link:

    http://timbauer.bauerfive.com/2008/06/15/mike-agnich-predictify-wisdom-in-the-crowd/

    I would agree Mike is adding a ton of value to the Wisdom of Crowds space … and suggests some new angles others might not be considering. On a separate blog the comment I liked best, from Mike, describing Predictify was this “A social network based on a reputation system”. Exactly.

    Like

  65. If you want to get the cliff notes of the interview plus how it relates to Princess Bride you might try this link:

    http://timbauer.bauerfive.com/2008/06/15/mike-agnich-predictify-wisdom-in-the-crowd/

    I would agree Mike is adding a ton of value to the Wisdom of Crowds space … and suggests some new angles others might not be considering. On a separate blog the comment I liked best, from Mike, describing Predictify was this “A social network based on a reputation system”. Exactly.

    Like

Comments are closed.