I’ll be seeing John Battelle later this afternoon and will try to get him on video about how well his predictions for 2007 went (for the past few years I’ve enjoyed his predictions for the next year more than any other blogger/journalist).
Here, let’s do a little scorecard for John based on how well his predictions did this year.
1. Right. Microsoft bought aQuantive for $6 billion and bought a sliver of Facebook. Negative points for trying to predict that AOL would go public.
2. Wrong. I don’t remember anyone saying that Web 2.0 bubble has burst, just that there is one.
3. Right. YouTube now has its videos on Google’s main search engine. Look for “Martin Luther King” for instance and you see his “I have a dream” speech.
4. Right. Google’s video ads have just started getting going and are far from a home run.
5. Right. Yahoo did not regain its luster, but did replace the CEO.
6. Wrong. eBay hasn’t made major changes to its executive leadership.
7. Right. Amazon has continued kicking butt in the web service space. Negative points for saying that the market will punish it. If anything the market has been supportive.
8. Mostly wrong. Wallstrip was acquired. Several others are on the block. But haven’t seen major content moves unless I’m missing something. I think John should extend this prediction to 2008 because I know several media companies are getting ready to acquire content plays.
9. Neutral. I’m seeing a LOT more traffic moving to RSS, but that’s a trend that hasn’t hit advertising in a big way yet. New metrics are definitely coming out all the time, though, to help advertisers track usage on AJAX, video, and RSS-centric sites.
10. Right. My blog definitely needs a redesign now that we have Twitter, Facebook, streaming video, etc.
11. Right. Facebook screwed up the privacy/trust issue.
12. Right. Google has gotten heck in the mainstream media.
13. Right. Mobile finally arrived in the US market with the iPhone.
Damn, mostly right. It’ll be an interesting morning.
I give you a front-row seat on the future. Focusing most of my efforts now on next-generation augmented reality and artificial intelligence, AKA "mixed reality."
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WATCH MY LATEST SPEECHES:
State of VR with Philip Rosedale (done in VR itself, very cool): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2zAA1EVGUZU
At GEOINT, June 2017: http://trajectorymagazine.com/glimpse-new-world/
Augmented World Expo, June 2017: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l4xHILvLD8E
At Leade.rs, April 2017: https://youtu.be/52_0JshgjXI
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BIO:
Scoble gives you a front-row seat on the future.
Literally. He had the first ride in the first Tesla. Siri was launched in his house. He's been the first to share all sorts of technologies and companies with you, from Flipboard to Pandora to Instagram.
Today he's focusing on mixed reality, AKA "next-generation augmented reality" which will include a new user interface for EVERYTHING in your life (IoT, Smart Cities, driverless cars, robots, drones, etc).
That's based on his view thanks to his past experience as futurist at Rackspace.
Best place to find Scoble? On his Facebook profile at https://www.facebook.com/RobertScoble
He has been a technology blogger since 2000, was one of five people who built Microsoft's Channel 9 video blog/community, worked at Fast Company Magazine running its TV efforts, and has been part of technology media businesses since 1993.
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SPEAKER PITCH:
Apple and Facebook now have revealed their Augmented Reality strategies, which means your business needs one too. Rely on Robert Scoble, the world's top authority on AR, to bring to your conference what businesses should do next.
SPEECH ABSTRACT #1:
TITLE: The Fourth Transformation: What's next in mixed reality (AR and AI) and the future of technology?
Here's an example of this talk at Leade.rs in Paris in April, 2017: https://youtu.be/52_0JshgjXI
Why "the Fourth Transformation?"
Soon we will have phones and glasses that do full on augmented reality. Everything you look at will potentially be augmented. This world is coming in late 2017 with a new iPhone from Apple, amongst other products. Microsoft is betting everything on its HoloLens glasses that do mixed reality and the industry is spending many billions of dollars in R&D and funding new companies like Magic Leap.
This future will be the user interface for IoT, Smart Cities, autonomous cars, robots, drones, and your TV.
This is a big deal and Robert will take you through what mixed reality is and how it will change every business.
Learn more about Robert's speaking style and contact his agent at http://odemanagement.com/robert-scoble/Robert-Scoble.html
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SPEECH ABSTRACT #2:
"The Next Two Clicks of Moore's Law."
Over the next four years, or two clicks of Moore's Law, a ton about our technology world will change. Scoble will bring you the best from his travels visiting R&D labs, startups, and innovators around the world.
He views the world through his rose-colored-mixed-reality glasses, which will be the new user interface for self driving cars, Smart Cities, IoT, and many other things in our world.
He'll send you off with some lessons for companies both large and small.
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SPEECH ABSTRACT #3:
"Personalized Meaning: What is Augmented Reality For?"
As we enter a far more technological world where even cars drive themselves, I predict we'll see a blowback toward the analog, more authentic world.
What role does augmented reality play in both worlds?
Get Scoble's insight into where augmented reality is going, see tons of real-world demos, and understand what he means by 'personalized meaning.'
CONTACT:
If you are looking to contact me, email is best: scobleizer@gmail.com.
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ENDORSEMENTS:
IZEA Top 25 Tech Influencers: https://izea.com/2017/07/07/25-top-tech-influencers/
Time: One of the top 140 Twitterers!
FT: One of the five most influential Twitterers!
Inc. Top 5 on list of Tech Power Players You Need to Know: http://www.inc.com/john-rampton/30-power-players-in-tech-you-need-to-know.html
Next Reality: #4 on top 50 AR influencer list: https://next.reality.news/news/nr50-next-realitys-50-people-watch-augmented-mixed-reality-0177454/
View all posts by Robert Scoble
Published
12 thoughts on “Battelle’s prediction scorecard for 2007”
He’s a smart guy. I got some talk time with him earlier this year when his Federated Media brought one of my sites (www.coasterbuzz.com) on to the platform. I think he has a fairly complete view of the bigger picture most of the time.
He’s a smart guy. I got some talk time with him earlier this year when his Federated Media brought one of my sites (www.coasterbuzz.com) on to the platform. I think he has a fairly complete view of the bigger picture most of the time.
more important than changing the executive leadership is changing the bureaucratic culture at eBay.
i’m easily swayed that Meg / others may choose to step aside in the near future to pursue other interests, however i’m less convinced any such changes will lead to a cultural shakeup that would enable them to move more quickly.
eBay does one thing right that Yahoo doesn’t — they have a big open checkbook to buy the innovation they’re not driving internally. but that’s still no excuse for not doing more to allow intrapreneurship at the mothership (or the satellite subsidiaries).
there’s still plenty of fire in the belly over there, and plenty of opportunity in the platforms of eBay, PayPal, & Skype… but the prison bars of powerpoint and teleconferences are holding a thousand flowers hostage.
more important than changing the executive leadership is changing the bureaucratic culture at eBay.
i’m easily swayed that Meg / others may choose to step aside in the near future to pursue other interests, however i’m less convinced any such changes will lead to a cultural shakeup that would enable them to move more quickly.
eBay does one thing right that Yahoo doesn’t — they have a big open checkbook to buy the innovation they’re not driving internally. but that’s still no excuse for not doing more to allow intrapreneurship at the mothership (or the satellite subsidiaries).
there’s still plenty of fire in the belly over there, and plenty of opportunity in the platforms of eBay, PayPal, & Skype… but the prison bars of powerpoint and teleconferences are holding a thousand flowers hostage.
I disagree that He got Yahoo right. Putting Jerry Yang as CEO is not necessarily a good move and only time will tell. And, I also disagree that he got Google right. He said that their founders would catch hell. This simply did NOT happen.
I disagree that He got Yahoo right. Putting Jerry Yang as CEO is not necessarily a good move and only time will tell. And, I also disagree that he got Google right. He said that their founders would catch hell. This simply did NOT happen.
Pretty impressive. Looking forward to the video.
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Pretty impressive. Looking forward to the video.
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He’s a smart guy. I got some talk time with him earlier this year when his Federated Media brought one of my sites (www.coasterbuzz.com) on to the platform. I think he has a fairly complete view of the bigger picture most of the time.
LikeLike
He’s a smart guy. I got some talk time with him earlier this year when his Federated Media brought one of my sites (www.coasterbuzz.com) on to the platform. I think he has a fairly complete view of the bigger picture most of the time.
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“6. Wrong. eBay hasn’t made major changes to its executive leadership.”
They removed the president of Skype, Henry Gomez, and the CEO/co-founder, Niklas Zennstrom. Does that qualify?
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“6. Wrong. eBay hasn’t made major changes to its executive leadership.”
They removed the president of Skype, Henry Gomez, and the CEO/co-founder, Niklas Zennstrom. Does that qualify?
LikeLike
more important than changing the executive leadership is changing the bureaucratic culture at eBay.
i’m easily swayed that Meg / others may choose to step aside in the near future to pursue other interests, however i’m less convinced any such changes will lead to a cultural shakeup that would enable them to move more quickly.
eBay does one thing right that Yahoo doesn’t — they have a big open checkbook to buy the innovation they’re not driving internally. but that’s still no excuse for not doing more to allow intrapreneurship at the mothership (or the satellite subsidiaries).
there’s still plenty of fire in the belly over there, and plenty of opportunity in the platforms of eBay, PayPal, & Skype… but the prison bars of powerpoint and teleconferences are holding a thousand flowers hostage.
sniff, sniff.
– dave “paypal developer network” mcclure
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more important than changing the executive leadership is changing the bureaucratic culture at eBay.
i’m easily swayed that Meg / others may choose to step aside in the near future to pursue other interests, however i’m less convinced any such changes will lead to a cultural shakeup that would enable them to move more quickly.
eBay does one thing right that Yahoo doesn’t — they have a big open checkbook to buy the innovation they’re not driving internally. but that’s still no excuse for not doing more to allow intrapreneurship at the mothership (or the satellite subsidiaries).
there’s still plenty of fire in the belly over there, and plenty of opportunity in the platforms of eBay, PayPal, & Skype… but the prison bars of powerpoint and teleconferences are holding a thousand flowers hostage.
sniff, sniff.
– dave “paypal developer network” mcclure
LikeLike
I disagree that He got Yahoo right. Putting Jerry Yang as CEO is not necessarily a good move and only time will tell. And, I also disagree that he got Google right. He said that their founders would catch hell. This simply did NOT happen.
LikeLike
I disagree that He got Yahoo right. Putting Jerry Yang as CEO is not necessarily a good move and only time will tell. And, I also disagree that he got Google right. He said that their founders would catch hell. This simply did NOT happen.
LikeLike