Proof that bloggers can’t predict anything in tech

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OK, there were only a few bloggers on this panel (Kara Swisher, Rob Hof, and me), but lots of famous journalists from Wall Street Journal, Business Week, CNBC, and Forbes. All trying their hardest to give predictions of what’s coming next year in tech.

In a separate video this panel took questions from the audience, which mostly made up hundreds of PR folks in Silicon Valley.

Of course I was only half joking in this headline. Kara and Rob did a much better job than I did (they should, Kara works for DowJones and Rob works for BusinessWeek) and the panel was a lot of fun. Hopefully I didn’t say too many things that’ll show up on Valleywag over the weekend.

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Published by Robert Scoble

I give you a front-row seat on the future. Focusing most of my efforts now on next-generation augmented reality and artificial intelligence, AKA "mixed reality." SUBSCRIBE TO MY NEWSLETTER: http://clevermoe.com/scobleizer-news/ BUY OUR NEW BOOK: https://www.amazon.com/Fourth-Transformation-Robert-Scoble/dp/1539894444 "The Fourth Transformation: How augmented reality and artificial intelligence will change everything." WATCH MY LATEST SPEECHES: State of VR with Philip Rosedale (done in VR itself, very cool): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2zAA1EVGUZU At GEOINT, June 2017: http://trajectorymagazine.com/glimpse-new-world/ Augmented World Expo, June 2017: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l4xHILvLD8E At Leade.rs, April 2017: https://youtu.be/52_0JshgjXI +++++++++++ BIO: Scoble gives you a front-row seat on the future. Literally. He had the first ride in the first Tesla. Siri was launched in his house. He's been the first to share all sorts of technologies and companies with you, from Flipboard to Pandora to Instagram. Today he's focusing on mixed reality, AKA "next-generation augmented reality" which will include a new user interface for EVERYTHING in your life (IoT, Smart Cities, driverless cars, robots, drones, etc). That's based on his view thanks to his past experience as futurist at Rackspace. Best place to find Scoble? On his Facebook profile at https://www.facebook.com/RobertScoble He has been a technology blogger since 2000, was one of five people who built Microsoft's Channel 9 video blog/community, worked at Fast Company Magazine running its TV efforts, and has been part of technology media businesses since 1993. ++++++++ SPEAKER PITCH: Apple and Facebook now have revealed their Augmented Reality strategies, which means your business needs one too. Rely on Robert Scoble, the world's top authority on AR, to bring to your conference what businesses should do next. SPEECH ABSTRACT #1: TITLE: The Fourth Transformation: What's next in mixed reality (AR and AI) and the future of technology? Here's an example of this talk at Leade.rs in Paris in April, 2017: https://youtu.be/52_0JshgjXI Why "the Fourth Transformation?" Soon we will have phones and glasses that do full on augmented reality. Everything you look at will potentially be augmented. This world is coming in late 2017 with a new iPhone from Apple, amongst other products. Microsoft is betting everything on its HoloLens glasses that do mixed reality and the industry is spending many billions of dollars in R&D and funding new companies like Magic Leap. This future will be the user interface for IoT, Smart Cities, autonomous cars, robots, drones, and your TV. This is a big deal and Robert will take you through what mixed reality is and how it will change every business. Learn more about Robert's speaking style and contact his agent at http://odemanagement.com/robert-scoble/Robert-Scoble.html ++++++++ SPEECH ABSTRACT #2: "The Next Two Clicks of Moore's Law." Over the next four years, or two clicks of Moore's Law, a ton about our technology world will change. Scoble will bring you the best from his travels visiting R&D labs, startups, and innovators around the world. He views the world through his rose-colored-mixed-reality glasses, which will be the new user interface for self driving cars, Smart Cities, IoT, and many other things in our world. He'll send you off with some lessons for companies both large and small. ++++++++ SPEECH ABSTRACT #3: "Personalized Meaning: What is Augmented Reality For?" As we enter a far more technological world where even cars drive themselves, I predict we'll see a blowback toward the analog, more authentic world. What role does augmented reality play in both worlds? Get Scoble's insight into where augmented reality is going, see tons of real-world demos, and understand what he means by 'personalized meaning.' CONTACT: If you are looking to contact me, email is best: scobleizer@gmail.com. ++++++++ ENDORSEMENTS: IZEA Top 25 Tech Influencers: https://izea.com/2017/07/07/25-top-tech-influencers/ Time: One of the top 140 Twitterers! FT: One of the five most influential Twitterers! Inc. Top 5 on list of Tech Power Players You Need to Know: http://www.inc.com/john-rampton/30-power-players-in-tech-you-need-to-know.html Next Reality: #4 on top 50 AR influencer list: https://next.reality.news/news/nr50-next-realitys-50-people-watch-augmented-mixed-reality-0177454/

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22 thoughts on “Proof that bloggers can’t predict anything in tech”

  5. Long but worth the watch. You can see through the panelist how media, journalism/reporting is evolving.

    There were also a couple of interesting references to the notion of advertising evolving.

    Fast forward 2-4 years. What will media look like? More like Robert and Kara or like Forbes? How will it be monetized? It seems to me that publishing and production is in a middle of a bing transformation.

    Robert: how do you see your role evolve? are you going to continue reporting, join a startup like seesmic or go back to a large enterprise company?

    Like

  6. Long but worth the watch. You can see through the panelist how media, journalism/reporting is evolving.

    There were also a couple of interesting references to the notion of advertising evolving.

    Fast forward 2-4 years. What will media look like? More like Robert and Kara or like Forbes? How will it be monetized? It seems to me that publishing and production is in a middle of a bing transformation.

    Robert: how do you see your role evolve? are you going to continue reporting, join a startup like seesmic or go back to a large enterprise company?

    Like

  7. Edwin: I’m seeing media evolving pretty quickly to live, or near live (look at my cell phone videos I put up today) with a major two-way component (look at how I brought Twitterers into the Google/MySpace press conference).

    My career? I’d expect to be at media companies. Seesmic is interesting. Large enterprises? Interesting too, but probably not for me in the next year or two. Companies like Kyte/Seesmic/Mogulus are doing much more interesting stuff.

    Like

  8. Edwin: I’m seeing media evolving pretty quickly to live, or near live (look at my cell phone videos I put up today) with a major two-way component (look at how I brought Twitterers into the Google/MySpace press conference).

    My career? I’d expect to be at media companies. Seesmic is interesting. Large enterprises? Interesting too, but probably not for me in the next year or two. Companies like Kyte/Seesmic/Mogulus are doing much more interesting stuff.

    Like

  9. Near Real-time can become interesting if people can make it more interactive and easier to scan, brag, mix.

    I liked the BugLab videos. It will be interesting to see what they come up with in their “kids/educational” edition. It could be a interesting tool to expose kids to programming.

    Like

  10. Near Real-time can become interesting if people can make it more interactive and easier to scan, brag, mix.

    I liked the BugLab videos. It will be interesting to see what they come up with in their “kids/educational” edition. It could be a interesting tool to expose kids to programming.

    Like

  11. Is Apple mac mini usable on your 60″ screen?

    I think there will soon be $100 video-on-demand boxes such using the DivX Connected or Windows Media Extender platform, or even that are independant of a PC such as Archos 5th generation, vudu box and other boxes. I think everyone will have a cheap Linux PC and a $100 Linux set-top-box. All text on the Kindle and all those companies on the panel there will be disrupted by this time next year.

    Like

  12. Is Apple mac mini usable on your 60″ screen?

    I think there will soon be $100 video-on-demand boxes such using the DivX Connected or Windows Media Extender platform, or even that are independant of a PC such as Archos 5th generation, vudu box and other boxes. I think everyone will have a cheap Linux PC and a $100 Linux set-top-box. All text on the Kindle and all those companies on the panel there will be disrupted by this time next year.

    Like

  13. Charbax: it’s usable, yes. But text is small. Fine for me and other geeks (my son loves it) but for everyday folks? Might find it frustrating.

    Me? It’s totally changed my life downstairs.

    Like

  14. Kyte/Seesmic/Mogulus are doing much more interesting stuff.

    I’d roll my eyes, but I am already blind. But given your track record, anything you become an evangelist of, dies, or becomes 1/3 of what the hype promised.

    Like

  15. Kyte/Seesmic/Mogulus are doing much more interesting stuff.

    I’d roll my eyes, but I am already blind. But given your track record, anything you become an evangelist of, dies, or becomes 1/3 of what the hype promised.

    Like

  16. Charbax: it’s usable, yes. But text is small. Fine for me and other geeks (my son loves it) but for everyday folks? Might find it frustrating.

    Me? It’s totally changed my life downstairs.

    Like

  17. Christopher: like iPhone, right?

    Or my Nokia N95, that I’ve been hyping up as much as it is able to be hyped (great camera, sucky UI).

    Facebook got up to $15 billion valuation, but seems like it’s imploding every minute lately.

    But, you keep ignoring the things that do win after I hype them up and keep rewriting history.

    Like

  18. Christopher: like iPhone, right?

    Or my Nokia N95, that I’ve been hyping up as much as it is able to be hyped (great camera, sucky UI).

    Facebook got up to $15 billion valuation, but seems like it’s imploding every minute lately.

    But, you keep ignoring the things that do win after I hype them up and keep rewriting history.

    Like

  19. Robert, your input on the panel was very valuable given that you do truly understand social media and your predictions were right-on so i am not sure that your assessment that you did more worse than Rob or Kara is true. Lots of people I talked to after the panel were glad you were on it.

    Like

  20. Robert, your input on the panel was very valuable given that you do truly understand social media and your predictions were right-on so i am not sure that your assessment that you did more worse than Rob or Kara is true. Lots of people I talked to after the panel were glad you were on it.

    Like

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